Home
ANALYSIS:
|
|
|
|
Analysis Serie A:
2003/2004: Staked = 350, Returned = 382.21, Yield = + 9.20%
2004/2005: Staked = 734, Returned = 702.99, Yield = -4.22%
2005/2006: Staked = 330, Returned = 362.49, Yield = + 9.85%
I might be the only one that thinks Treviso will get something out of this game, so I will stick to my guns. Livorno are a very good team, especially on the defensive side, where they give opponents very few scoring chances, but its their offensive game that is to be desired. Midweek they tied Lecce 0-0 while allowing Lecce to attempt 24 shots towards the net while Livorno only attempted 6 in a game that Lecce clearly dominated. In fact, In Livorno's last 7 games their opponents have created more scoring chances and have out shot them! Treviso are not world beaters and most likely will end up in Serie B next season but not without a battle first. In their last 3 games they have 1 draw and two 1-0 losses, but those 3 games have been against Inter, Udinese and a hot Roma. In those 3 games they have not looked out of place and have traded shot for shot with these three. Defensively Treviso are very sound allowing opponents the 6th least attempts on goal and Livorno falls right into their game plan as they allow the least attempts on goal in Serie A. I see a low scoring game here and getting a 1 goal head start is a must play.
I would gladly back Reggina straight up to win here in a heartbeat but they are missing two starters in Franceschini and Vigiani which doesn't allow me to do that. In their last 3 games Reggina have played 3 very tough opponents in Roma, Juventus and Fiorentina. Although they lost 2 of those and tied the other one 1-1 with Fiorentina, a Sampdria team that thinks offence first might be a drop in class for them. Sampdoria beat Fiorentina midweek 3-1 and beat Lecce 3-0 the game prior but those two scores are a little misleading. For starters, that was Fiorentina's 3rd straight road game in a 7 day span. Against Lecce they beat up a terrible Lecce side that allows the 3rd most shot against in Serie A. Reggina is sound defensively and are at home, and have some incentive in that in their first encounter Sampdoria won 3-2. Perhaps Sampdoria's last 2 wins will give them a false sense of security?
Empoli tied Udinese midweek but that still resulted in the firing of their coach. Perhaps deservedly so since they haven't won in their last 9 games. Actually, in their last 5 games they are 0-0-5 scoring only 2 and allowing 12. Offensively they attempt the 6th least shots on goal and defensively they allow the most shots in Serie A. Allowing the most shots isn't something that is reassuring when you are playing the #1 team in Serie A. To make matters worse, Juventus allow the least shots against in Serie A, while attempting the 4th most. In their first encounter, at Empoli, Juventus dominated in winning 4-0. In this one, I look for something like a 2-1, 3-0 or a 3-1 Juventus win. Juventus are a lot deeper than Empoli and this will be both teams 4th game in the last week. Juventus are also coming off a 1-1 draw against Chievo and you know that won't sit well with their club.
Partners:
Recommended
bookies:
Sporting Index
