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ANALYSIS:
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Analysis Serie A:
2003/2004: Staked = 350, Returned = 382.21, Yield = + 9.20%
2004/2005: Staked = 734, Returned = 702.99, Yield = -4.22%
2005/2006: Staked = 400, Returned = 430.79, Yield = + 7.70%
Cagliari are a terrible team and on the road they have yet to win. Their road record of 0-2-12 is bad enough but in those 14 road games they have allowed a league high 32 goals against. Livorno have returned to their winning ways since the hiring of their new coach Mazzone. In fact, they sit in 6th place and have allowed the 3rd least goals in Serie A. Livorno are too strong for Cagliari especially when Cagliari are the road team. Livorno defensively have only allowed 10 home goals in 14 games and that should be the difference in the one as I don't think Cagliari will score.
Its very tough to like Udinese here even if they are at home and will make the change of playing with 3 forwards instead of their regular 2. Udinese find themsleves slipping every game they play and have now not won in their last 8 games. Ascoli are only 1-5-7 on the road but in their last 5 games they have 2 wins and 3 draws. One interesting statistic about this one is that both team have scored 27 goals, but its Udinese who have allowed 41 while Ascoli have only allowed 31. I think Ascoli have enough here to get a draw.
Roma are on a huge roll having broken the Serie A record for most consecutive wins. Don't' look for that streak to stop here as i feel even without Totti they have enough to beat Inter. Inter are more likely interested in their Champions League game against Ajax and for this one will be without Samuel, Adriano, Veron and Favelli. Those 4 are very key in what Inter do and will be missed more than Totti or any other Roma player. Backing the Asian handicap however, just in case Inter decide to play for a draw.
This play has more to do with going against Lecce than it does backing Palermo. Lecce sit in last place in Serie A and will only look for 3 points here. This will mean that they at some point will have to open up and try to score. That won't be easy as they have only managed 1 goal in their last 5 games. Lecce are also winless in their last 12 games and I'm sure they will be in Serie B next season. For this one however, once Lecce open up and attempt to score, we will see what Palermo does best and that is counter attack. I like Palermo outright but will back them with an Asian just in case they are looking for 1 point instead of a full 3 points.
This is a game in which i think Siena have enough to get 3 points or at worse 1. Fiorentina are 12-0-2 at home and that is why most will back them to win this one easily. Siena however will have a lot of supporters at this one because in essence it is a derby. In Siena's last 6 games they have 3 wins, 2 ties and only 1 loss and that on coming to a very hot Roma team. Siena are 4-4-5 on the road which is decent enough to get 1 point but as mentioned. This is a derby and they will play with more intensity.
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